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Notice of Electricity Committee Workshop
on Summer 2008 Supply and Demand Outlook


Documents for Workshop

The California Energy Commission's (Energy Commission) Electricity Committee (the Committee) will conduct a workshop to obtain comments on assumptions, methodologies and results in the staff 2008 Supply and Demand Outlook. Commissioner Jeffrey D. Byron is the Presiding Member, and Commissioner John L. Geesman is the Associate Member of the Committee. Other Commissioners may attend and participate in the workshop. The workshop will be held:

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 16, 2008
1:00 p.m.
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION
1516 Ninth Street
First Floor, Hearing Room A
Sacramento, California
(Wheelchair Accessible)

Audio from this meeting will be broadcast over the Internet.
For details, please go to:
www.energy.ca.gov/webcast/

To participate in the meeting by phone,
please call (888) 495-9739 by 1:00 p.m.
Passcode: SUMMER Call Leader: DENNY BROWN

Purpose

The Committee requests comments on the Summer 2008 Electricity Supply and Demand Outlook (Summer Outlook). Preliminary results and a staff paper summarizing changes in the Summer Outlook since 2007 will be presented at the workshop. To provide a useful, relevant, and comprehensive assessment, the Committee seeks the participation of the state's major utilities, system operators, hydro-electric system operators, generators and other interested parties in this process. The Committee is also requesting input from stakeholders on the impact of possible dry hydro conditions on the ability of the electricity system to meet peak load conditions. Finally, the Committee would like to hear comments from utilities on how Demand Response and Interruptible Load programs are utilized during periods of high demand or unusual resource limitations.

Background

The Summer 2008 Electricity Supply and Demand Outlook is the Energy Commission staff's current assessment of the overall capability of the physical electricity system to provide power to meet electricity demand in four regions - California Statewide, California Independent System Operator (CA ISO) Control Area, CA ISO North of Path 26 (NP 26), and CA ISO South of Path 26 (SP 26).

Staff is including a probabilistic assessment to enhance the deterministic tables we have historically provided. This probabilistic assessment evaluates the complete range of possible demand scenarios, generation and transmission forced outage occurrences, and the possibility of three adverse conditions occurring simultaneously.

Stakeholder input to the staff hydro assumptions is strongly encouraged and welcomed. The staff hydro assumptions are based on the premise that dependable hydro capacity during peak periods does not significantly change between a wet and a dry water year, even though the historic record shows that dry conditions can have a significant impact on available energy production. The estimate of dependable hydro capacity that the staff uses is based on low water year conditions and would only be revised slightly upward in an extremely wet year to account for additional run-of-river capacity that could be produced in June and early July by additional runoff.

Workshop Participation and Comments

The Committee requests the participation of interested parties in this workshop and encourages interested parties to present their views either orally at the workshop or through written comments. The Committee will take general comment from the public immediately following the workshop presentations.

Parties should provide comments regarding the preliminary Summer Outlook, both orally at the workshop and in writing. Proposals or other written comments to be considered after the workshop must be submitted by 5:00 p.m. on January 18, 2008. For written comments on the Summer Outlook, include the docket No. 08-SDO-1 and indicate 2008 Supply Demand Outlook in the subject line or first paragraph of your comments. Please send your comments in writing to:

California Energy Commission
Dockets Office, MS-4
Re: Docket No. No. 08-SDO-1
1516 Ninth Street
Sacramento, CA 95814-5512

The Energy Commission encourages comments by e-mail. Please include your name or organization in the name of the file. Those submitting comments by electronic mail should provide them in either Microsoft Word format or as a Portable Document File (PDF) to docket@energy.state.ca.us. Participants may also provide an original and 10 copies at the beginning of the workshop. All written materials relating to this workshop will be filed with the Dockets Unit and become part of the public record in this proceeding.

Public Participation

The Energy Commission's Public Adviser's Office provides the public assistance in participating in Energy Commission activities. If you want information on how to participate in this forum, please contact the Public Adviser's Office at: (916) 654-4489 or toll free at (800) 822-6228, by FAX at (916) 654-4493, or by e-mail at pao@energy.state.ca.us. If you have a disability and require assistance to participate, please contact Lou Quiroz at (916) 654-5146 at least five days in advance.

Please direct all news media to Claudia Chandler, Assistant Executive Director, at (916) 654-4989, or by e-mail at mediaoffice@energy.state.ca.us. For technical questions regarding the Summer 2008 Electricity Supply and Demand Outlook, please contact Denny Brown at (916) 654-4829, or by e-mail at dbrown@energy.state.ca.us.

Date: January 2, 2008



commissioner signature
JEFFREY D. BYRON
Commissioner and Presiding Member
Electricity Committee
commissioner signature
JOHN L. GEESMAN
Commissioner and Associate Member
Electricity Committee

Date Posted: January 8, 2008

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